AFRI in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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Forafric Global PLC buys mostly imported wheat, mills it into flour and semolina, and processes some into pasta and couscous. Soft-wheat products account for most of its revenue, and Morocco supplies most of its sales. Its Moroccan brands serve different buyers: MayMouna is popular with households, while Tria is popular with industrial customers. The company also operates mills in Mali and Burkina Faso and sells products internationally.
The business depends on the cost and availability of wheat and on financing to buy it and keep mills running. Competition limits selling prices, so Forafric cannot directly pass wheat-cost increases on to customers. Freight costs also affect what it pays for wheat. In Morocco, rules restrict soft-wheat imports to seasonal windows, and imported soft wheat requires certification from the food-safety authority ONSSA.
Access to working-capital financing has already constrained milling volumes. Management is seeking additional financing, cutting costs and considering further asset sales or restructuring.
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Forafric’s results depend on imported wheat costs, Moroccan milling demand and financing to fund day-to-day operations; local rivals Moulins du Maghreb and Zine Cereales matter more than the supplied diversified food companies.
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