Stock daily read

What happened with ADXN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ADXN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Addex Therapeutics develops potential medicines rather than selling approved drugs. Its lead candidate, dipraglurant, is being developed for recovery after stroke or traumatic brain injury, and it has a separate candidate for chronic cough. None of its candidates has marketing approval, and it has never earned revenue from drug sales.

Its limited revenue comes mainly from Indivior paying it to maintain licensed patents. The earlier research-funding arrangement has ended. Indivior holds worldwide rights to a program targeting substance use disorders, including alcohol use disorder, and funds and controls development of its selected compound. Addex can receive milestone payments if specified development, regulatory or commercial goals are met, and royalties if products are sold. This potential income depends on Indivior advancing the program; Addex cannot direct or veto its decisions.

Addex sold its drug-discovery platform and some preclinical programs to Neurosterix and retains a minority stake in Neurosterix US Holdings LLC. It also relies on some staff and infrastructure support from Neurosterix. Share sales have historically supplied most of its funding, and continuing development requires substantial additional capital.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ADXN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ADXN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Addex’s prospects hinge on financing and clinical progress: watch Indivior’s licensed program, dipraglurant’s brain-injury collaboration with Sinntaxis, and Addex’s 20% stake in privately held Neurosterix.

  • Addex depends on Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc., which sells opioid-use-disorder medicines, to fund and develop the substance-use-disorder candidate it licensed from Addex’s GABAB PAM program. Watch that candidate’s clinical progress, including for alcohol use disorder: it could bring Addex milestone payments and, if commercialized, royalties on sales.

Agenda

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. earningsINDV

    Indivior’s report can show whether it is advancing the substance-use-disorder candidate licensed from Addex, which could bring Addex milestone payments and royalties if the program progresses and reaches sales.

in 21 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Addex Therapeutics Ltd earningsThis company

    Addex has no approved drugs and relies on financing and collaboration income to develop its candidates, so this report will show whether it can keep its programs moving.