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Markets tried to shake off Friday’s scare: chip and “AI” stocks snapped back, the Nasdaq and small caps bounced, but defensives and banks sagged and everyone is clearly waiting on this week’s inflation numbers.
If Friday’s jobs report had you wondering whether the bottom just fell out of tech, today felt more like a deep breath than a full recovery.
The S&P 500 ticked up about 0.3%, the Nasdaq nearly 0.9%, and small caps roughly the same, while the Dow actually slipped a bit. That combination – growthy, riskier stuff up, old‑school blue chips flat to down – is classic “relief rally after a shock.”
Remember, last week a much‑hotter‑than‑expected jobs report sent bond yields to multi‑month highs and knocked the S&P about 2½% lower for the week, with the Nasdaq and chipmakers hit even harder. That’s the backdrop for today’s bounce.
The rebound was all about the same names that just got hit:
On average, individual S&P names did better than the index (the equal‑weight version was up about 0.8%), but only about half of stocks rose and there are still more names making fresh 1‑month lows than highs. Under the surface, the damage from the recent selloff isn’t fully repaired.
Volatility eased: the VIX, Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” fell roughly 13% to the high‑teens, and big index swings stayed muted, even though there were lots of big individual winners and losers.
What changed today is sentiment, not the story. The market showed it’s still willing to buy dips in AI and chip names, and the spike in fear cooled off. Bond yields, after jumping last week on the jobs data, were basically unchanged today and the yield curve looks “normal” again.
What hasn’t changed is the macro backdrop the market is wrestling with:
The tells over the next few days will be:
For now, it’s a relief rally in a market that’s still very much on inflation watch.